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Severe Memory Shortage Hits Hardware Market: Smartphones and PCs Face Supply Crisis

A global memory shortage is predicted to drop smartphone shipments to 1.12 billion units, with HP reporting RAM costs have surged to 35% of total PC material costs.

Kenji
Kenji
· 5 min read
2 sources citedUpdated Feb 26, 2026
A close-up of a semiconductor wafer with memory chips, overlaid with a falling bar graph representin

⚡ TL;DR

Memory famine triggers hardware crisis: smartphone shipments hit decade low as RAM costs double for PC makers.

Severe Memory Shortage Hits Hardware Market: Smartphones and PCs Face Supply Crisis

Introduction: The New Storm in Semiconductors

In 2026, the global tech industry is facing an unprecedented memory famine, driving the sharpest decline in smartphone shipments in a decade. As reported by TechCrunch (2026), IDC predicts a significant market contraction.

Smartphone Market: Worst Forecast in a Decade

IDC forecasts global shipments to drop to 1.12 billion units from last year's 12.6 billion. Manufacturers are prioritizing high-end AI phones that require massive RAM, causing a shortage for budget models to preserve margins.

PC Market: RAM Costs Double in BOM

HP released data showing that RAM now accounts for 35% of the total bill of materials (BOM) for its PCs Ars Technica (2026). This is a massive jump from just 15-18% in the previous quarter, reflecting extreme supply tightening.

Expert Analysis

Geopolitical tensions and AI server demand for HBM are diverting supply away from consumer electronics. In Taiwan, interest in AI concept stocks has reached a score of 75 as investors worry about supply chain stability.

Future Outlook

There are few signs that the shortage will abate soon. The industry’s focus is shifting to software optimization to minimize device reliance on physical RAM capacity.

FAQ

為什麼記憶體會短缺?

AI 伺服器與新型 AI 手機對記憶體需求爆發,且產線向高毛利的 HBM 轉移。

這會影響我的新手機售價嗎?

是的,旗艦機型可能漲價,而平價機型則可能縮減記憶體容量以維持價格。

短缺什麼時候會結束?

IDC 預測至少要到 2026 年下半年產能才有望逐步回升。

📖 Sources